Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert v Vit Kopriva

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 18:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV -0.389%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.195%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.72%33.26%33.26%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.803.0037.74%35.43%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Visit)

Prediction 66.80%1.50fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%66.74%66.74%68.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.25%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 33.20%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 66.80%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.389%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.389%E -0.130%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -0.722%E -0.241%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.05%E -0.354%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -1.39%E -0.467%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:56
SportsBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.72%E -0.580%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.05%E -0.695%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 17:35
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.71%E -0.926%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 18:10
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.48%E -1.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:35
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:35
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:24
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -5.04%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.15%E -5.15%K -18.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.49%E -6.20%K -22.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:22
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:04
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:24
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:05
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:05
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:24
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 32.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.55%0.7%2026-05-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-05-08 18:09