La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Vit Kopriva

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 33.20%3.01quota equa
EV -0.389%
Vantaggio -0.130%
Kelly -0.195%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.72%33.26%33.26%35.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.822.803.0037.74%35.43%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vit Kopriva (Trasferta)

Previsione 66.80%1.50quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -5.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%66.74%66.74%68.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.25%69.93%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.389%E -0.130%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 18:10
DraftKings2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -0.722%E -0.241%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.05%E -0.354%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -1.39%E -0.467%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:56
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.72%E -0.580%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.05%E -0.695%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 17:35
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.71%E -0.926%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 18:10
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:59
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 18:10
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.48%E -1.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 18:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:34
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:35
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:35
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:24
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -5.04%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:09
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.15%E -5.15%K -18.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.49%E -6.20%K -22.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:24
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 17:22
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:24
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:54
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:09
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 17:24
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:24
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:05
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:24
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.15%E -3.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:05
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:05
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:24
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 32.45%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.55%0.7%2026-05-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 18:04
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-05-08 18:09