A Escola das Odds

Tomas Machac v Daniil Medvedev

Início: 2026-05-09 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Previsão 42.81%2.34odd justa
EV -0.684%
Vantagem -0.295%
Kelly -0.518%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%42.87%42.60%45.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.212.232.3250.00%45.35%44.84%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 57.19%1.75odd justa
EV -0.487%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%57.13%57.40%59.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.661.651.7464.52%60.31%60.61%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.684%E -0.295%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 07:44
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 05:34
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 07:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 07:44
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.35%E -7.32%K -20.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 06:30
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -1.97%E -0.859%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 07:49
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 06:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 06:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:29
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 07:54
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:58
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 06:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 07:55
Betsson2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 07:53
NordicBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 07:53
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 07:53
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:34
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 08:00
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 07:59
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 05:34
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 05:34
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 05:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 05:34
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:50
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:29
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 06:29
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 06:29
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 06:49
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.487%E -0.280%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 07:55
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.487%E -0.280%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 07:54
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 07:54
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:29
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 07:55
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 07:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 07:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.06%E -0.612%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 07:54
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:54
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 07:58
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 06:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 06:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 06:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 07:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-09 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-09 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-09 07:54
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-05-09 07:54
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-05-09 07:54
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-05-09 07:50