La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Machac v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Machac (Local)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.684%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.518%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%42.87%42.60%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.232.3250.00%45.35%44.84%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 57.19%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.487%
Ventaja -0.280%
Kelly -0.658%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%57.13%57.40%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.661.651.7464.52%60.31%60.61%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.684%E -0.295%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.54%E -0.670%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.35%E -7.32%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 06:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -1.97%E -0.859%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 07:49 |
| GTbets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 01:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Betsson | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 07:53 |
| NordicBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.06%E -3.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 07:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 07:53 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 07:59 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:59 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 07:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.21%E -3.78%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.92%E -2.33%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.487%E -0.280%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.487%E -0.280%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 07:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.06%E -0.612%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 07:58 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.63%E -3.41%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.77%E -1.63%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Novig | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 07:50 |