La scuola delle quote

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Cameron Norrie

Inizio: 2026-05-09 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 40.98%2.44quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.514%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.28%40.96%41.03%42.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.39%43.48%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.02%1.69quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.04%58.97%60.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.611.611.6665.79%62.27%62.11%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -1.24%E -0.514%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 11:39
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.65%E -0.687%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 08:49
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:45
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:44
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.29%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 06:29
Betclic (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.29%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 08:46
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:29
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:28
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 06:29
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 06:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.29%E -6.77%K -19.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:25
ReBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 08:49
Betsson2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 06:29
NordicBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.52%E -1.94%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:54
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 08:55
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:30
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 06:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 05:44
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 06:29
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:45
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:44
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 06:30
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:19
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.98%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 06:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 02:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:45
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 07:54
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 02:33
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 10:19
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 20:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 20:49
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 20:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 08:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 05:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:54
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:55
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-09 08:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-05-09 08:49