StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Cameron Norrie

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim)

Prognose 40.98%2.44faire Quote
EV -1.24%
Vorteil -0.514%
Kelly -0.879%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.28%40.96%41.03%42.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.39%43.48%41.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.02%1.69faire Quote
EV -2.03%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -3.07%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.69%59.04%58.97%60.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.611.611.6665.79%62.27%62.11%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim): 40.98%; Cameron Norrie (Auswärts): 59.02%. Für Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.44. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.41, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.24%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -1.24%E -0.514%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 11:39
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.65%E -0.687%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:44
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.29%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 06:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.29%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 08:46
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 07:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:29
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:28
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 06:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 06:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.29%E -6.77%K -19.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:25
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 08:49
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 06:29
NordicBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.52%E -1.94%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:54
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 06:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.34%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 06:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 05:44
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 06:29
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 06:29
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.98%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 06:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 02:35
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:45
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 07:54
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 02:33
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 20:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 20:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 08:54
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 05:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:54
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-09 08:55
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-09 08:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-05-09 08:49