Language:English
Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prediction 27.76%3.60fair odd
EV -0.074%
Edge -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.80%27.81%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 72.24%1.38fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.20%72.19%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3878.13%75.80%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 27.76%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 72.24%. For Martin Landaluce (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.600, with an expected value of -0.074%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.074%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.074%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 16:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -1.75%E -1.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 16:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -6.46%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -7.85%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -0.305%E -0.221%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 06:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 06:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 16:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 16:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 16:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 06:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -2.47%E -1.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.75%E -1.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |