La escuela de los momios

Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev

Inicio: 2026-05-14 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.074%
Ventaja -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%27.80%27.81%29.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Predicción 72.24%1.38momio equitativo
EV -0.305%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.18%72.20%72.19%73.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.321.3878.13%75.80%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.074%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:16
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.074%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 16:21
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:45
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 15:45
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:10
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:46
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:10
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 16:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 16:25
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -1.75%E -1.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 16:55
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.13%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:55
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:46
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:46
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:54
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 16:45
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:31
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:31
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:31
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:31
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:31
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:25
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:46
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:51
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 16:40
DraftKings3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -6.46%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 08:50
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:55
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 16:46
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -7.85%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -0.305%E -0.221%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 08:50
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 06:15
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 07:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 06:15
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 06:15
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.64%E -3.51%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 16:31
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:16
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.36%E -4.09%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 13:05
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 16:31
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.53%E -5.88%K -26.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 16:55
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 06:15
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -2.47%E -1.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:46
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.75%E -1.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:45
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 16:46
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.68%K -20.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%0.0%2026-05-14 16:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%0.0%2026-05-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%0.0%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-14 16:55
Novig3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-05-14 16:55
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-05-14 16:55