Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Alexander Shevchenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 68.55%1.46fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -8.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.62%68.68%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4174.07%72.50%72.46%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Shevchenko (Visit)
Prediction 31.45%3.18fair odd
EV +0.644%
Edge +0.201%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%31.38%31.32%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.22%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 68.55%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visit): 31.45%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.644%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.644%E +0.201%K +0.293%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 03:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -0.614%E -0.194%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.928%E -0.295%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.56%E -0.498%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 07:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.44%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.44%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 08:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 10:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 02:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 11:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 09:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 03:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 03:06 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 03:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 20:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.51%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.20% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.80% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 08:55 |