La escuela de los momios

Karen Khachanov v Alexander Shevchenko

Inicio: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 68.55%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -8.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.62%68.68%70.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.381.381.4174.07%72.50%72.46%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV +0.644%
Ventaja +0.201%
Kelly +0.293%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.67%31.38%31.32%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.22%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.644%E +0.201%K +0.293%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-08 03:06
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 08:45
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -0.614%E -0.194%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 08:50
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.928%E -0.295%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 21:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.56%E -0.498%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 08:40
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 07:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.50%E -0.807%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.44%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.44%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 08:40
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 08:49
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.35%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 10:55
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 10:54
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:00
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.07%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 08:00
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 10:55
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 08:05
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:05
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 02:04
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 10:54
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:50
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 11:51
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 21:00
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 08:45
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 10:55
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 09:53
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 20:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:55
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 21:05
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 08:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.46%E -5.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 09:25
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 03:06
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 09:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 20:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:45
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:20
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 03:06
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 03:06
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.77%E -4.98%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 20:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 20:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 20:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 20:49
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.40%E -3.92%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.51%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 08:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-08 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-08 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-08 08:25
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-08 08:55
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.20%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.80%1.8%2026-05-08 08:50
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-08 08:55