StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner v Andrey Rublev

Matchstart: 2026-05-14 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 92.19%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -3.04%
Kelly -63.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.10%92.20%92.17%94.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.21%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Borta)

Prognos 7.81%12.81rättvist odds
EV +32.70%
Fördel +1.92%
Kelly +2.04%
Tillväxt +0.668%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.71%7.80%7.83%10.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.5013.0613.0017.0011.76%7.65%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jannik Sinner (Hemma): 92.19%; Andrey Rublev (Borta): 7.81%. För Andrey Rublev (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.81. 32 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 17.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +32.70%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +32.70%E +1.92%K +2.04%G +0.668%3.0%2026-05-14 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +24.89%E +1.56%K +1.66%G +0.413%4.3%2026-05-14 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%2.8%2026-05-14 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +15.53%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.175%4.8%2026-05-14 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.18%E +0.909%K +0.977%G +0.129%3.1%2026-05-14 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%3.3%2026-05-14 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +7.72%E +0.559%K +0.603%G +0.047%4.3%2026-05-14 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.98%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.65I 7.33%NM 7.02%EV +6.55%E +0.480%K +0.518%G +0.034%4.4%2026-05-14 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%3.8%2026-05-14 10:35
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-14 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-14 10:55
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.63%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.37%EV -0.866%E -0.068%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 10:55
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.39%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.62I 7.92%NM 7.61%EV -1.49%E -0.118%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:35
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.55I 7.97%NM 7.65%EV -2.04%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 10:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 09:20
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 10:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:25
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 09:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -12.18%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:05
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 10:35
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:00
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.75%E -3.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 10:50
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.65%E -3.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 09:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.45%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.55%0.8%2026-05-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:55
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-05-14 10:55
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-05-14 10:55