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Jannik Sinner v Andrey Rublev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jannik Sinner (Хозяева)
Прогноз 92.19%1.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.20%
Преимущество -3.04%
Kelly -63.92%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
89.10%92.20%92.17%94.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.21%97.09%95.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Andrey Rublev (Гости)
Прогноз 7.81%12.81справедливый коэффициент
EV +32.70%
Преимущество +1.92%
Kelly +2.04%
Рост +0.668%
при максимальном коэффициенте 17.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
5.71%7.80%7.83%10.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.5013.0613.0017.0011.76%7.65%7.69%5.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jannik Sinner (Хозяева): 92.19%; Andrey Rublev (Гости): 7.81%. Для исхода «Andrey Rublev (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 12.81. 32 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 17.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +32.70%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +32.70%E +1.92%K +2.04%G +0.668% | 3.0% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +24.89%E +1.56%K +1.66%G +0.413% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 2.8% | 2026-05-14 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +15.53%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.175% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.18%E +0.909%K +0.977%G +0.129% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +7.72%E +0.559%K +0.603%G +0.047% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 10:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.98%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 13.65I 7.33%NM 7.02%EV +6.55%E +0.480%K +0.518%G +0.034% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.63%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 12.70I 7.87%NM 7.37%EV -0.866%E -0.068%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.39%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 12.62I 7.92%NM 7.61%EV -1.49%E -0.118%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 09:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 12.55I 7.97%NM 7.65%EV -2.04%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 10:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 09:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -12.18%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 09:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 10:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.75%E -3.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.65%E -3.96%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 09:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.45% | 17.86I 5.60%NM 5.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 10:55 |