Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jannik Sinner v Andrey Rublev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 92.19%1.08cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -63.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.10%92.20%92.17%94.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.21%97.09%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.81%12.81cote équitable
EV +32.70%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.668%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.71%7.80%7.83%10.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5013.0613.0017.0011.76%7.65%7.69%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jannik Sinner (Local) : 92.19% ; Andrey Rublev (Visiteur) : 7.81%. Pour Andrey Rublev (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.81. 32 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 17.00, soit une espérance positive de +32.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +32.70%E +1.92%K +2.04%G +0.668%3.0%2026-05-14 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +24.89%E +1.56%K +1.66%G +0.413%4.3%2026-05-14 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%2.8%2026-05-14 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.09%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.209%3.8%2026-05-14 00:10
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +15.53%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.175%4.8%2026-05-14 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.18%E +0.909%K +0.977%G +0.129%3.1%2026-05-14 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%3.3%2026-05-14 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.28%E +0.663%K +0.714%G +0.066%6.2%2026-05-14 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +7.72%E +0.559%K +0.603%G +0.047%4.3%2026-05-14 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.98%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.65I 7.33%NM 7.02%EV +6.55%E +0.480%K +0.518%G +0.034%4.4%2026-05-14 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%3.8%2026-05-14 10:35
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-14 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-14 10:55
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.48%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%5.7%2026-05-14 10:50
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.63%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.37%EV -0.866%E -0.068%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 10:55
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.39%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.62I 7.92%NM 7.61%EV -1.49%E -0.118%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.96%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:35
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.55I 7.97%NM 7.65%EV -2.04%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 10:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.88%E -6.82%K -688.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -2.43%E -0.194%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 09:20
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 10:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 10:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:25
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.33%E -0.527%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -10.23%E -0.890%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 09:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -12.18%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:05
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 10:35
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.96%E -5.85%K -298.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -14.14%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.20%E -3.04%K -63.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.94%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 09:00
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.04%E -4.89%K -168.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.75%E -3.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 10:50
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.12%E -3.96%K -102.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.65%E -3.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.45%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.55%0.8%2026-05-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-05-14 10:55
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-05-14 10:55
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-05-14 10:55