Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Início: 2026-05-06 18:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Previsão 60.35%1.66odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.75%60.35%60.20%62.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.72%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)

Previsão 39.65%2.52odd justa
EV -0.863%
Vantagem -0.345%
Kelly -0.575%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%39.65%39.80%41.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.402.5044.44%41.99%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 60.35%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante): 39.65%. Para Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.52. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.50, com valor esperado de -0.863%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -7.21%E -3.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:46
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.66%E -0.668%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 18:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.45%E -0.996%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.41%E -2.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.28%E -5.44%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-05-06 18:45