La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jacob Fearnley v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jacob Fearnley (Casa)
Previsione 60.35%1.66quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.75%60.35%60.20%62.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.72%63.69%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Trasferta)
Previsione 39.65%2.52quota equa
EV -0.863%
Vantaggio -0.345%
Kelly -0.575%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.97%39.65%39.80%41.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.382.402.5044.44%41.99%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -7.21%E -3.08%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.66%E -0.668%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.45%E -0.996%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.41%E -2.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.28%E -5.44%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 18:40 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 2.9% | 2026-05-06 18:45 |