StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jacob Fearnley v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-06 18:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jacob Fearnley (Heim)

Prognose 60.35%1.66faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -1.77%
Kelly -4.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.75%60.35%60.20%62.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.72%63.69%62.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.65%2.52faire Quote
EV -0.863%
Vorteil -0.345%
Kelly -0.575%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.97%39.65%39.80%41.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.382.402.5044.44%41.99%41.67%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jacob Fearnley (Heim): 60.35%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Auswärts): 39.65%. Für Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.52. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.50, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.863%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -7.21%E -3.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:46
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.84%E -1.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.66%E -0.668%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 18:45
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 18:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.05%E -0.831%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.65%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.45%E -0.996%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.41%E -2.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 18:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.863%E -0.345%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.28%E -5.44%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-06 18:40
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-06 18:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-05-06 18:45