The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hugo Dellien v Jesper De Jong

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hugo Dellien (Local)

Prediction 45.30%2.21fair odd
EV +0.568%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.97%45.36%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.052.2250.00%47.86%48.78%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Visit)

Prediction 54.70%1.83fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.76%55.03%54.64%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7662.11%58.86%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Dellien (Local): 45.30%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 54.70%. For Hugo Dellien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.568%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV +0.568%E +0.256%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.39%E -7.03%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -0.791%E -0.361%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -7.56%E -4.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:19
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.96%E -1.87%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.73%E -2.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.37%E -3.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:16
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.73%E -2.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.28%E -2.44%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.82%E -2.77%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 11:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.37%E -3.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -11.93%E -7.41%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 11:20
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.92%E -3.44%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Novig◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%3.7%2026-05-05 11:20