赔率学院

Hugo Dellien v Jesper De Jong

开赛时间： 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Hugo Dellien (主队)

预测 45.30%2.21公平赔率
EV +0.568%
优势 +0.256%
Kelly +0.466%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
42.41%44.97%45.36%46.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.092.052.2250.00%47.86%48.78%45.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

Jesper De Jong (客队)

预测 54.70%1.83公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -2.12%
Kelly -4.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布
53.76%55.03%54.64%57.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.611.701.701.7662.11%58.86%58.82%56.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV +0.568%E +0.256%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 11:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.338%E -0.154%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.39%E -7.03%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -0.791%E -0.361%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -7.56%E -4.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:19
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.96%E -1.87%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.73%E -2.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 11:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.37%E -3.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.65%E -5.18%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:16
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.73%E -2.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.28%E -2.44%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.82%E -2.77%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 11:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.37%E -3.10%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -11.93%E -7.41%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 11:20
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.92%E -3.44%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 11:30
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.01%E -4.12%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 11:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%3.7%2026-05-05 11:20