La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Federico Cinà v Alexander Blockx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Federico Cinà (Local)
Predicción 19.67%5.08momio equitativo
EV +9.39%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.193%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.92%19.87%19.60%24.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.744.765.5626.67%21.08%21.01%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Blockx (Visitante)
Predicción 80.33%1.24momio equitativo
EV +0.408%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%80.13%80.40%83.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.171.171.2590.91%85.20%85.47%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14%EV +9.39%E +1.69%K +2.06%G +0.193% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.86%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +8.21%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.150% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +8.21%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.150% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Fliff | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV +5.25%E +0.982%K +1.21%G +0.063% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -10.84%E -9.76%K -98.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.27%E +0.806%K +0.993%G +0.042% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.27%E +0.806%K +0.993%G +0.042% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.30%E +0.443%K +0.548%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.336%E +0.066%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.64%E -10.58%K -116.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Betsson | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.60%E -0.734%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:04 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.57%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -6.16%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.41%E -3.71%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 10:55 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.12%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 11:03 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.52%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -11.27%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.47%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 11:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.47%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 10:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Caesars | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 10:30 |
| GTbets | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -16.39%E -3.86%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 10:26 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -18.35%E -4.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 10:57 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 10:40 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 10:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -21.31%E -5.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +0.408%E +0.326%K +1.63%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:04 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -21.31%E -5.33%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.395%E -0.319%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 11:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -26.22%E -6.99%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 10:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 11:01 |
| Matchbook | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| Novig | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |