مدرسة الاحتمالات

Federico Cinà v Alexander Blockx

البداية: 2026-05-07 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Federico Cinà (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.67%5.08السعر العادل
EV +9.39%
الأفضلية +1.69%
Kelly +2.06%
النمو +0.193%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.92%19.87%19.60%24.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.744.765.5626.67%21.08%21.01%17.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Blockx (الضيف)

التنبؤ 80.33%1.24السعر العادل
EV +0.408%
الأفضلية +0.326%
Kelly +1.63%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.45%80.13%80.40%83.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.171.171.2590.91%85.20%85.47%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14%EV +9.39%E +1.69%K +2.06%G +0.193%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.86%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 11:05
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +8.21%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.150%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +8.21%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.150%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV +5.25%E +0.982%K +1.21%G +0.063%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -10.84%E -9.76%K -98.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 11:05
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.27%E +0.806%K +0.993%G +0.042%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:05
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.27%E +0.806%K +0.993%G +0.042%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:05
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.30%E +0.443%K +0.548%G +0.013%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 11:05
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.336%E +0.066%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:05
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 11:05
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 11:04
NordicBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 11:05
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 11:05
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:05
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:05
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:05
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:05
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.43%E -7.39%K -60.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 11:05
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -1.63%E -0.326%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -11.64%E -10.58%K -116.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 11:05
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.60%E -0.734%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:04
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.57%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:05
1xBet4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV -6.16%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -4.41%E -3.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 10:55
Pinnacle4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 10:55
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 11:05
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 11:05
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 11:05
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 11:05
LowVig.ag4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.12%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 11:03
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.52%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.02%E -5.14%K -35.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.50%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 11:05
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -11.27%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.47%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 11:04
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.47%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -10.03%E -8.96%K -83.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 11:05
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 10:40
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:00
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 11:01
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.44%E -3.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 11:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.81%E -2.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 10:50
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 11:00
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.40%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 10:30
GTbets4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -16.39%E -3.86%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 10:26
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -18.35%E -4.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -1.20%E -0.974%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 10:57
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 10:40
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -19.34%E -4.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.61%E -3.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 10:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -21.31%E -5.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +0.408%E +0.326%K +1.63%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-07 11:04
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -21.31%E -5.33%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.395%E -0.319%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 11:03
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -26.22%E -6.99%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -2.00%E -1.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 10:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-05-07 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-05-07 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-05-07 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-05-07 11:01
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-05-07 11:05
Novig5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%7.5%2026-05-07 11:05