Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 11:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prediction 76.79%1.30fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%76.81%76.85%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.77%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit)

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +4.67%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%23.19%23.15%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.044.004.5127.78%24.74%25.00%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 76.79%; Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit): 23.21%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -5.85%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.67%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.062%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -5.85%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.67%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.062%4.8%2026-05-08 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV +2.81%E +0.635%K +0.820%G +0.023%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.957%E +0.220%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.6%2026-05-08 10:52
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.957%E +0.220%K +0.286%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 10:54
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.24%E -2.57%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 10:54
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.68%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:54
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.01%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 10:54
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:55
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:54
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.00%EV -1.71%E -1.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.97%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 10:53
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.939%E -0.728%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%2.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-05-08 11:00