La escuela de los momios

Botic van de Zandschulp v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Inicio: 2026-05-08 11:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Predicción 76.79%1.30momio equitativo
EV -0.939%
Ventaja -0.728%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%76.81%76.85%78.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.77%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)

Predicción 23.21%4.31momio equitativo
EV +4.67%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.15%23.19%23.15%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.044.004.5127.78%24.74%25.00%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -5.85%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.67%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.062%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.08%E -5.85%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.67%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.062%4.8%2026-05-08 10:55
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV +2.81%E +0.635%K +0.820%G +0.023%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.957%E +0.220%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.6%2026-05-08 10:52
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.957%E +0.220%K +0.286%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 10:54
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:55
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.24%E -2.57%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 10:54
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 10:54
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.52%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 10:59
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.68%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 11:00
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:54
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.01%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 10:54
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 10:55
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:55
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:55
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:54
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.00%EV -1.71%E -1.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:54
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.97%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 10:53
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.939%E -0.728%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:55
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.18%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.82%2.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-05-08 11:00