Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Miomir Kecmanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 68.81%1.45fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.70%68.85%70.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.45%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.884%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.07%31.30%31.15%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.053.2736.36%33.12%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 68.81%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 31.19%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -7.80%E -5.82%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.01%E +0.614%K +0.884%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.38%E +0.425%K +0.615%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.49%E -6.38%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.177%E -0.055%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.489%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.74%E -0.551%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.36%E -3.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.74%E -0.551%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 08:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.18%E -6.95%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 01:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -1.61%E -1.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.48%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.48%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 02:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.36%E -3.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 07:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.47%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.30%E -1.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.21%E -5.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |