Idioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Miomir Kecmanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 68.81%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.70%68.85%70.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.45%72.46%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%31.30%31.15%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.053.2736.36%33.12%32.79%30.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andrey Rublev (Local): 68.81%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante): 31.19%. Para Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.21. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.27, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.01%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -7.80%E -5.82%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.01%E +0.614%K +0.884%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.38%E +0.425%K +0.615%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.49%E -6.38%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.177%E -0.055%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.489%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.74%E -0.551%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.36%E -3.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.74%E -0.551%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 08:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.18%E -6.95%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 01:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -1.61%E -1.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 06:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.48%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.48%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 02:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.36%E -3.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 07:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.74%E -4.19%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.05%E -3.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.47%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.30%E -1.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.21%E -5.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 08:55 |