La scuola delle quote

Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Inizio: 2026-05-11 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 58.99%1.70quota equa
EV -0.896%
Vantaggio -0.533%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.99%58.96%61.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.601.611.6864.52%62.33%62.11%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.01%2.44quota equa
EV +0.063%
Vantaggio +0.026%
Kelly +0.044%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.00%41.01%41.04%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.312.4445.45%43.28%43.29%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 08:54
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 08:33
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.67%E -1.62%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.99%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 08:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.26%E -1.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-11 08:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 05:44
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:34
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 05:45
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 08:54
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 07:55
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:45
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 08:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 23:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 05:09
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:59
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:29
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 08:55
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 06:04
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.09%E -2.66%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 05:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 06:09
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 06:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 01:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 02:00
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:29
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.896%E -0.533%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.96%E -4.04%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 08:54
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.49%E -0.890%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-05-11 08:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-11 08:44