La escuela de los momios

Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Inicio: 2026-05-11 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 58.99%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.896%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.99%58.96%61.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.611.6864.52%62.33%62.11%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visitante)

Predicción 41.01%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.063%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%41.01%41.04%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.312.4445.45%43.28%43.29%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 08:54
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 08:33
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.67%E -1.62%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.99%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 08:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.26%E -1.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-11 08:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 05:44
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:34
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 05:45
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 08:54
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 07:55
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:45
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 08:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 23:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 05:09
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:59
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:29
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 08:55
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 06:04
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.09%E -2.66%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 05:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 06:09
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 06:54
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 01:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 02:00
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:29
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.896%E -0.533%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.96%E -4.04%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 08:54
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.49%E -0.890%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-05-11 08:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-11 08:44