Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 58.99%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.896%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.99%58.96%61.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.611.6864.52%62.33%62.11%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.01%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.063%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.044%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.00%41.01%41.04%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.312.4445.45%43.28%43.29%40.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrey Rublev (Local) : 58.99% ; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visiteur) : 41.01%. Pour Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.438. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.440, soit une espérance positive de +0.063%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 08:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 08:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.67%E -1.62%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.99%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.26%E -1.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-11 08:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 05:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:34
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 05:45
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.04%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.45%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:54
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.86%E -2.09%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 07:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:44
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 05:45
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 08:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 22:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 05:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 01:59
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.62%E -3.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 08:29
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.56%E -5.53%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 06:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.03%E -3.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.09%E -2.66%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 05:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 08:34
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 06:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.91%E -3.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 06:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.85%E -2.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 08:14
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.21%E -3.90%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.80%E -4.30%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 01:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 02:00
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.73%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 08:29
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.896%E -0.533%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.96%E -4.04%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 08:54
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.49%E -0.890%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 08:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-05-11 08:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-11 08:44