Idioma:Português
Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Berrettini
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Previsão 34.29%2.92odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +0.732%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.024%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.11%34.26%34.37%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.12%36.36%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Previsão 65.71%1.52odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.956%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.74%65.63%67.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.55%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 34.29%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 65.71%. Para Alexei Popyrin (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.92. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.98, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.18%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.18%E +0.732%K +1.10%G +0.024% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.50%E +0.505%K +0.763%G +0.011% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV +0.467%E +0.159%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.124%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.562%E -0.194%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.25%E -0.433%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:06 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 06:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 07:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.05%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 07:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 22:11 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 07:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |