A Escola das Odds

Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 34.29%2.92odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +0.732%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.11%34.26%34.37%36.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.12%36.36%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 65.71%1.52odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.956%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.74%65.63%67.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.55%69.44%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.18%E +0.732%K +1.10%G +0.024%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 08:15
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.50%E +0.505%K +0.763%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:15
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV +0.467%E +0.159%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.124%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 08:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.562%E -0.194%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 07:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.25%E -0.433%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:14
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:25
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 07:15
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 07:15
DraftKings2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 07:15
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 07:25
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 07:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:25
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:06
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 08:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 13:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 07:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 07:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 06:00
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 07:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 08:25
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 08:25
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:15
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.05%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 07:35
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 07:15
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 07:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:11
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 07:25
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 07:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 22:05
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 08:30
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:05
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 07:20
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-07 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Novig2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%1.5%2026-05-07 08:14
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-07 08:50