مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Berrettini

البداية: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.29%2.92السعر العادل
EV +2.18%
الأفضلية +0.732%
Kelly +1.10%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.11%34.26%34.37%36.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.12%36.36%33.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Berrettini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 65.71%1.52السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.956%
Kelly -2.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.41%65.74%65.63%67.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.55%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.18%E +0.732%K +1.10%G +0.024%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 08:15
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.50%E +0.505%K +0.763%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:15
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV +0.467%E +0.159%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.124%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 08:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.562%E -0.194%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 07:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.25%E -0.433%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:14
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 07:25
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:25
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 07:15
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 07:15
DraftKings2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 07:15
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 07:25
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 07:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:25
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:06
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 08:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 13:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 07:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 07:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 06:00
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 07:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 08:25
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 08:25
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:24
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:15
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.05%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 07:35
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 07:15
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 07:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:11
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 07:25
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 07:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 22:05
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 08:30
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:05
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 07:20
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 07:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-07 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Novig2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%1.5%2026-05-07 08:14
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-07 08:50