La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 34.29%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.732%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.11%34.26%34.37%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.12%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 65.71%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.74%65.63%67.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.55%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.18%E +0.732%K +1.10%G +0.024% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 08:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.50%E +0.505%K +0.763%G +0.011% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV +0.467%E +0.159%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.124%E +0.042%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.562%E -0.194%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.25%E -0.433%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.62%E -0.922%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:06 |
| ReBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 13:50 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 06:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 07:24 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.05%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 07:35 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 22:11 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 07:25 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 07:30 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.956%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 07:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |