Language:English
Rinky Hijikata v Luciano Darderi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rinky Hijikata (Local)
Prediction 34.25%2.92fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.580%
Kelly +0.874%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.20%34.37%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.39%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visit)
Prediction 65.75%1.52fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.52%65.80%65.63%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.32%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 34.25%; Luciano Darderi (Visit): 65.75%. For Rinky Hijikata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV +1.72%E +0.580%K +0.874%G +0.015% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -1.02%E -0.352%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -7.29%E -5.17%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.70%E -0.593%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.73%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.79%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:36 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.69%E -1.82%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.27%E -3.92%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.95%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.95%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |