L’École des cotes

Rinky Hijikata v Luciano Darderi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 23:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Prévision 34.25%2.92cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.580%
Kelly +0.874%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.20%34.37%35.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.39%36.36%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.75%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.52%65.80%65.63%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.32%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV +1.72%E +0.580%K +0.874%G +0.015%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:39
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:39
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 23:39
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 23:39
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.675%E -0.233%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:39
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -1.02%E -0.352%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -7.29%E -5.17%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 23:34
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.70%E -0.593%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:33
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:39
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.39%E -0.838%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:39
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.73%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:39
GTbets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:39
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:39
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:39
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.10%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.79%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 23:36
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:40
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:40
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:40
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:36
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:34
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:39
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:39
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:39
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:34
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:34
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 23:40
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 23:38
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.69%E -1.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:34
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:39
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:40
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:34
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:39
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:39
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:39
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:39
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:39
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:39
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:39
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:39
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.66%E -3.22%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:34
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:39
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.24%E -3.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:39
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.27%E -3.92%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.95%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 23:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.95%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-07 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-07 23:39
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-07 23:40
Novig3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%1.9%2026-03-07 23:40
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-07 23:39