L’École des cotes

Jack Draper v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jack Draper (Local)

Prévision 33.81%2.96cote équitable
EV +18.32%
Avantage +5.23%
Kelly +7.33%
Croissance +1.34%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%33.62%33.41%40.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.792.753.5042.55%35.78%36.36%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.19%1.51cote équitable
EV +5.91%
Avantage +3.69%
Kelly +9.85%
Croissance +0.582%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.80%66.38%66.59%73.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.441.431.6078.13%69.44%69.93%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +18.32%E +5.23%K +7.33%G +1.34%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -13.28%E -10.14%K -42.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +18.32%E +5.23%K +7.33%G +1.34%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -15.27%E -11.93%K -54.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 00:50
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +16.63%E +4.82%K +6.79%G +1.13%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -12.62%E -9.56%K -39.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:49
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +14.94%E +4.39%K +6.22%G +0.930%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 00:50
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +14.94%E +4.39%K +6.22%G +0.930%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -13.95%E -10.73%K -46.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 00:49
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +13.25%E +3.95%K +5.64%G +0.747%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -14.61%E -11.32%K -50.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 00:49
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -11.30%E -8.43%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 00:49
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -13.28%E -10.14%K -42.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 00:49
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.30%E -8.43%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 00:50
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 00:50
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 00:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.49%E +2.06%K +3.02%G +0.196%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +6.49%E +2.06%K +3.02%G +0.196%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -13.95%E -10.73%K -46.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 00:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.80%E +1.55%K +2.28%G +0.110%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 00:49
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.42%E +0.472%K +0.708%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +1.42%E +0.472%K +0.708%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.64%E -7.88%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 00:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.275%E -0.093%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:50
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -0.613%E -0.208%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -6.00%E -4.23%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 00:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.96%E -0.678%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -2.64%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 00:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 00:50
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:50
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:50
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 00:48
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.02%E -2.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.00%E -4.23%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 00:50
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 00:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 00:50
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.65%E -6.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 00:50
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 00:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.69%E -1.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 00:45
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 00:48
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.708%E -0.472%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 00:10
SportsBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -12.78%E -4.95%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%4.6%2026-03-13 00:10
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 00:45
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV +5.91%E +3.69%K +9.85%G +0.582%2.2%2026-03-13 00:40
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV +2.60%E +1.68%K +4.73%G +0.123%4.2%2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%5.0%2026-03-13 00:39
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -15.15%E -6.04%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070%4.8%2026-03-13 00:39
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +3.26%E +2.09%K +5.83%G +0.190%4.1%2026-03-13 00:03
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%5.4%2026-03-13 00:44
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%5.4%2026-03-13 00:44
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 00:43
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.708%E -0.472%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 00:45
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -15.82%E -6.36%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +5.25%E +3.30%K +8.90%G +0.467%3.1%2026-03-13 00:44
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -15.82%E -6.36%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +5.25%E +3.30%K +8.90%G +0.467%3.1%2026-03-13 00:44
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -16.16%E -6.52%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070%5.3%2026-03-13 00:39
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -16.50%E -6.68%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070%5.4%2026-03-13 00:34
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -16.50%E -6.68%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%5.8%2026-03-13 00:10
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -17.18%E -7.01%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -17.18%E -7.01%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -4.02%E -2.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 00:48
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +3.93%E +2.50%K +6.89%G +0.270%5.4%2026-03-13 00:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +2.60%E +1.68%K +4.73%G +0.123%6.2%2026-03-13 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +0.616%E +0.405%K +1.18%G +0.007%7.5%2026-03-13 00:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +0.616%E +0.405%K +1.18%G +0.007%7.5%2026-03-13 00:09
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -19.54%E -8.21%K -14.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031%7.4%2026-03-13 00:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -20.56%E -8.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV +4.59%E +2.90%K +7.91%G +0.363%5.8%2026-03-13 00:43
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -20.56%E -8.75%K -15.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV +3.93%E +2.50%K +6.89%G +0.270%6.2%2026-03-13 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-03-13 00:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-13 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-03-13 00:50
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%6.2%2026-03-13 00:45
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%7.5%2026-03-13 00:50