La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jack Draper v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jack Draper (Local)
Predicción 33.81%2.96momio equitativo
EV +18.32%
Ventaja +5.23%
Kelly +7.33%
Crecimiento +1.34%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.78%33.62%33.41%40.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.792.753.5042.55%35.78%36.36%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 66.19%1.51momio equitativo
EV +5.91%
Ventaja +3.69%
Kelly +9.85%
Crecimiento +0.582%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%66.38%66.59%73.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.441.431.6078.13%69.44%69.93%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +18.32%E +5.23%K +7.33%G +1.34% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -13.28%E -10.14%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +18.32%E +5.23%K +7.33%G +1.34% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -15.27%E -11.93%K -54.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +16.63%E +4.82%K +6.79%G +1.13% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -12.62%E -9.56%K -39.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +14.94%E +4.39%K +6.22%G +0.930% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +14.94%E +4.39%K +6.22%G +0.930% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -13.95%E -10.73%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV +13.25%E +3.95%K +5.64%G +0.747% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -14.61%E -11.32%K -50.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -11.30%E -8.43%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +11.56%E +3.50%K +5.02%G +0.581% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -13.28%E -10.14%K -42.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -11.30%E -8.43%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +8.18%E +2.56%K +3.72%G +0.304% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.49%E +2.06%K +3.02%G +0.196% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +6.49%E +2.06%K +3.02%G +0.196% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -13.95%E -10.73%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.80%E +1.55%K +2.28%G +0.110% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.96%E -8.99%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.42%E +0.472%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +1.42%E +0.472%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.64%E -7.88%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 00:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.275%E -0.093%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -0.613%E -0.208%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -6.00%E -4.23%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.96%E -0.678%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -2.64%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -9.98%E -7.33%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 00:48 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.02%E -2.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.00%E -4.23%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.65%E -6.27%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.03%E -1.37%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.69%E -1.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 00:48 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.708%E -0.472%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -12.78%E -4.95%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -5.34%E -3.74%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV +5.91%E +3.69%K +9.85%G +0.582% | 2.2% | 2026-03-13 00:40 |
| GTbets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV +2.60%E +1.68%K +4.73%G +0.123% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -14.81%E -5.88%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 00:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -15.15%E -6.04%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 00:39 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +3.26%E +2.09%K +5.83%G +0.190% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 00:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:44 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 00:43 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.708%E -0.472%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -15.82%E -6.36%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +5.25%E +3.30%K +8.90%G +0.467% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -15.82%E -6.36%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +5.25%E +3.30%K +8.90%G +0.467% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -16.16%E -6.52%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -16.50%E -6.68%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV +1.94%E +1.26%K +3.59%G +0.070% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -16.50%E -6.68%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -17.18%E -7.01%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -0.046%E -0.030%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -17.18%E -7.01%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -4.02%E -2.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 00:48 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +3.93%E +2.50%K +6.89%G +0.270% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:44 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +2.60%E +1.68%K +4.73%G +0.123% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +0.616%E +0.405%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -18.87%E -7.86%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +0.616%E +0.405%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -19.54%E -8.21%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV +1.28%E +0.835%K +2.41%G +0.031% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -20.56%E -8.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV +4.59%E +2.90%K +7.91%G +0.363% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -20.56%E -8.75%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV +3.93%E +2.50%K +6.89%G +0.270% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |
| Novig | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 00:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 00:50 |