La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Francesco Maestrelli v Rinky Hijikata
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Francesco Maestrelli (Casa)
Previsione 46.66%2.14quota equa
EV +5.93%
Vantaggio +2.61%
Kelly +4.67%
Crescita +0.276%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.39%46.86%45.78%51.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.062.102.2754.64%48.46%47.62%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.34%1.87quota equa
EV +4.01%
Vantaggio +2.05%
Kelly +4.22%
Crescita +0.169%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.41%53.14%54.22%57.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.731.9561.73%57.33%57.80%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +5.93%E +2.61%K +4.67%G +0.276% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV +3.13%E +1.41%K +2.58%G +0.081% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -11.46%E -6.90%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:32 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.22%G +0.059% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.22%G +0.059% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| Bet Right | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.73%E +0.792%K +1.46%G +0.025% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.39%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.26%E +0.580%K +1.08%G +0.014% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 02:36 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -8.26%E -4.80%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:42 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.59%E -8.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.39%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.74%E -6.81%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.260%E -0.139%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +4.01%E +2.05%K +4.22%G +0.169% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV +4.01%E +2.05%K +4.22%G +0.169% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Novig | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |