La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francesco Maestrelli v Rinky Hijikata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francesco Maestrelli (Local)
Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV +5.93%
Ventaja +2.61%
Kelly +4.67%
Crecimiento +0.276%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.39%46.86%45.78%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.062.102.2754.64%48.46%47.62%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)
Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV +4.01%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +4.22%
Crecimiento +0.169%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%53.14%54.22%57.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.731.9561.73%57.33%57.80%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +5.93%E +2.61%K +4.67%G +0.276% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +4.53%E +2.02%K +3.65%G +0.165% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV +3.13%E +1.41%K +2.58%G +0.081% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -11.46%E -6.90%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:32 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.22%G +0.059% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.22%G +0.059% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| Bet Right | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.73%E +0.792%K +1.46%G +0.025% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.39%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.26%E +0.580%K +1.08%G +0.014% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 02:36 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.326%E +0.152%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.99%E -7.27%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -8.26%E -4.80%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.141%E -0.066%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:42 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:41 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.59%E -8.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.39%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.74%E -6.81%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.260%E -0.139%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +4.01%E +2.05%K +4.22%G +0.169% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV +4.01%E +2.05%K +4.22%G +0.169% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Novig | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |