Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dino Prizmic (Local): 74.50%; Tristan Schoolkate (Visit): 25.50%. For Tristan Schoolkate (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +9.65%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.37%E +1.97%K +2.58%G +0.216% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.55%E +1.11%K +1.47%G +0.067% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.00%E +0.500%K +0.667%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.00%E +0.500%K +0.667%G +0.013% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.550%E -0.141%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -1.57%E -0.407%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.14%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.86%EV -2.34%E -0.610%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -1.66%E -1.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -5.40%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:57 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 11:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.28%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -14.32%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.58%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.915%E -0.688%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.915%E -0.688%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -17.13%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -17.13%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |