L’École des cotes

Dino Prizmic v Tristan Schoolkate

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prévision 74.50%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.915%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.27%74.55%74.45%78.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.43%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tristan Schoolkate (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV +9.65%
Avantage +2.24%
Kelly +2.92%
Croissance +0.282%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%25.45%25.55%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.604.3030.77%27.82%27.78%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +9.65%E +2.24%K +2.92%G +0.282%6.6%2026-03-05 00:04
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.37%E +1.97%K +2.58%G +0.216%5.5%2026-03-05 00:05
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.55%E +1.11%K +1.47%G +0.067%5.0%2026-03-05 00:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.00%E +0.500%K +0.667%G +0.013%5.0%2026-03-05 00:01
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.00%E +0.500%K +0.667%G +0.013%7.0%2026-03-05 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.550%E -0.141%K -0.190%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 00:05
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -1.57%E -0.407%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.14%EV -10.60%E -8.83%K -53.00%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.86%EV -2.34%E -0.610%K -0.825%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:05
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:05
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:05
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 00:05
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 00:05
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:50
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -1.66%E -1.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -5.40%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 22:15
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:05
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:04
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:57
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:58
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:39
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 11:08
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:05
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 00:05
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:01
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.87%E -5.50%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:56
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:50
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 12:09
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:55
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 14:45
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.40%E -1.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -12.28%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:54
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:40
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 00:05
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -14.32%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 23:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.58%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:05
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.915%E -0.688%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 10:45
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.915%E -0.688%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.15%E -2.42%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:05
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:05
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:05
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.64%E -3.62%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.85%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.89%E -3.02%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -17.13%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -4.24%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -17.13%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-05 00:05