A Escola das Odds

Dino Prizmic v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Previsão 23.63%4.23odd justa
EV +6.33%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.81%
Crescimento +0.114%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%24.97%23.52%34.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.653.703.954.5037.74%27.02%25.32%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 76.37%1.31odd justa
EV +10.74%
Vantagem +7.41%
Kelly +23.86%
Crescimento +2.56%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.11%75.03%76.48%78.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.281.231.4583.33%78.08%80.97%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +10.74%E +7.41%K +23.86%G +2.56%4.7%2026-03-06 22:07
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:11
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:12
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -35.02%E -12.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%5.8%2026-03-06 22:08
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -29.35%E -9.82%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV +9.21%E +6.44%K +21.42%G +1.97%3.4%2026-03-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -31.48%E -10.85%K -16.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%4.9%2026-03-06 22:12
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -31.95%E -11.09%K -16.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%5.1%2026-03-06 22:07
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%6.1%2026-03-06 22:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -37.38%E -14.11%K -22.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%8.2%2026-03-06 22:12
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -32.66%E -11.46%K -17.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +7.68%E +5.45%K +18.74%G +1.44%6.0%2026-03-06 22:07
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:07
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:09
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -30.06%E -10.16%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%5.2%2026-03-06 22:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:25
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:19
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:25
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.39%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:24
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.422%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:23
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:24
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 22:25
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.33%E +1.41%K +1.81%G +0.114%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:22
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.97%E +0.901%K +1.17%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
DraftKings4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.077%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:24
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.31%E +0.534%K +0.694%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:22
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +1.60%E +0.373%K +0.486%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.759%E -0.181%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 22:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-06 22:25
Novig4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%5.3%2026-03-06 22:25