L’École des cotes

Dino Prizmic v Arthur Fils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prévision 23.63%4.23cote équitable
EV +6.33%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.114%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%24.97%23.52%34.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.703.954.5037.74%27.02%25.32%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arthur Fils (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.37%1.31cote équitable
EV +10.74%
Avantage +7.41%
Kelly +23.86%
Croissance +2.56%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.11%75.03%76.48%78.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.281.231.4583.33%78.08%80.97%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +10.74%E +7.41%K +23.86%G +2.56%4.7%2026-03-06 22:07
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:11
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:12
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -35.02%E -12.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%5.8%2026-03-06 22:08
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -29.35%E -9.82%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV +9.21%E +6.44%K +21.42%G +1.97%3.4%2026-03-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -31.48%E -10.85%K -16.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%4.9%2026-03-06 22:12
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -31.95%E -11.09%K -16.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%5.1%2026-03-06 22:07
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%6.1%2026-03-06 22:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -37.38%E -14.11%K -22.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%8.2%2026-03-06 22:12
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -32.66%E -11.46%K -17.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +7.68%E +5.45%K +18.74%G +1.44%6.0%2026-03-06 22:07
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:07
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:09
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -30.06%E -10.16%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%5.2%2026-03-06 22:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:25
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:19
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:25
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.39%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:24
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.422%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:23
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:24
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 22:25
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.33%E +1.41%K +1.81%G +0.114%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:22
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.97%E +0.901%K +1.17%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
DraftKings4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.077%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:24
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.31%E +0.534%K +0.694%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:22
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +1.60%E +0.373%K +0.486%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.759%E -0.181%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 22:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-06 22:25
Novig4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%5.3%2026-03-06 22:25