La escuela de los momios

Dino Prizmic v Arthur Fils

Inicio: 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Predicción 23.63%4.23momio equitativo
EV +6.33%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.81%
Crecimiento +0.114%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%24.97%23.52%34.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.703.954.5037.74%27.02%25.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Predicción 76.37%1.31momio equitativo
EV +10.74%
Ventaja +7.41%
Kelly +23.86%
Crecimiento +2.56%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.11%75.03%76.48%78.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.281.231.4583.33%78.08%80.97%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +10.74%E +7.41%K +23.86%G +2.56%4.7%2026-03-06 22:07
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:11
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -31.71%E -10.97%K -16.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%4.0%2026-03-06 22:12
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -35.02%E -12.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +9.97%E +6.93%K +22.67%G +2.26%5.8%2026-03-06 22:08
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -29.35%E -9.82%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV +9.21%E +6.44%K +21.42%G +1.97%3.4%2026-03-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -31.48%E -10.85%K -16.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%4.9%2026-03-06 22:12
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -31.95%E -11.09%K -16.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%5.1%2026-03-06 22:07
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%6.1%2026-03-06 22:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -37.38%E -14.11%K -22.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV +8.45%E +5.95%K +20.11%G +1.70%8.2%2026-03-06 22:12
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -32.66%E -11.46%K -17.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +7.68%E +5.45%K +18.74%G +1.44%6.0%2026-03-06 22:07
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:07
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -29.11%E -9.70%K -14.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%4.8%2026-03-06 22:09
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -30.06%E -10.16%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%5.2%2026-03-06 22:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -33.84%E -12.09%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +6.92%E +4.94%K +17.30%G +1.20%7.1%2026-03-06 22:07
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.01%E -2.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:25
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:19
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:25
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.39%E -3.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.94%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.54%E -3.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:24
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.422%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:23
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:24
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.30%E -4.27%K -22.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.12%E -0.762%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 22:25
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.06%E -4.93%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 22:25
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.33%E +1.41%K +1.81%G +0.114%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:22
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.97%E +0.901%K +1.17%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:24
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.83%E -5.60%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:25
DraftKings4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +5.15%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.077%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:24
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.59%E -6.27%K -36.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.31%E +0.534%K +0.694%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:22
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +1.60%E +0.373%K +0.486%G +0.008%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:24
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.759%E -0.181%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 22:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.49%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.85%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.03%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.35%E -6.96%K -41.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-06 22:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-06 22:25
Novig4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%5.3%2026-03-06 22:25