La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Cameron Norrie
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 91.89%1.09quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -43.20%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.10%91.82%92.02%93.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.37%96.15%94.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)
Previsione 8.11%12.34quota equa
EV +24.10%
Vantaggio +1.57%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.406%
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.37%8.18%7.98%10.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5011.7712.0015.3111.76%8.49%8.33%6.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.58%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 15.31I 6.53%NM 6.42%EV +24.10%E +1.57%K +1.68%G +0.406% | 1.8% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +21.59%E +1.44%K +1.54%G +0.333% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +17.53%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.228% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 01:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +17.53%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.228% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.24%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.76%EV +15.10%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.173% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +13.48%E +0.963%K +1.04%G +0.140% | 3.3% | 2026-03-13 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +9.43%E +0.698%K +0.754%G +0.071% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +9.43%E +0.698%K +0.754%G +0.071% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +5.37%E +0.413%K +0.448%G +0.024% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.37%E +0.413%K +0.448%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.37%E +0.413%K +0.448%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.19%E -7.12%K -718.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +5.37%E +0.413%K +0.448%G +0.024% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.32%E +0.106%K +0.115%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.12%EV -2.59%E -2.45%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.88%EV +0.511%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-13 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:31 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:11 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:11 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:11 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:11 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 14:11 |
| Betway | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 07:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.73%E -0.228%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| GTbets | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.83%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.17%EV -5.24%E -0.449%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Fliff | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.92%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.08%EV -5.97%E -0.515%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.78%E -0.590%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -6.78%E -0.590%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:50 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Betsson | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Everygame | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 07:40 |
| Caesars | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 15:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -10.84%E -0.985%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.89%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 06:28 |
| Fanatics | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.89%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -14.89%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 01:40 |
| Neds | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.27%E -6.14%K -313.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -14.89%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -16.92%E -1.65%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 01:50 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 08:20 |
| 888sport | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.51%E -3.34%K -70.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 08:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.35%E -5.19%K -178.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.94%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 01:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -31.10%E -3.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 05:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Novig | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 01:25 |