A Escola das Odds

Ben Shelton v Reilly Opelka

Início: 2026-03-06 21:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 75.23%1.33odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -10.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.07%75.24%75.00%77.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.241.2983.33%80.27%80.65%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reilly Opelka (Visitante)

Previsão 24.77%4.04odd justa
EV +5.29%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.22%24.76%25.00%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.473.843.854.2528.82%26.06%25.97%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.29%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.086%5.5%2026-03-06 21:10
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +4.05%E +0.965%K +1.27%G +0.051%7.1%2026-03-06 21:08
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +2.56%E +0.619%K +0.817%G +0.021%2.9%2026-03-06 21:10
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +1.57%E +0.384%K +0.508%G +0.008%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -0.408%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:10
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:09
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.14%E -0.542%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.736%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:10
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 21:04
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:10
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:10
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 21:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:04
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 21:05
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:11
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:10
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 21:10
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:06
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 21:09
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:10
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:04
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:06
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:10
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 21:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:02
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:05
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:56
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:04
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:10
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -14.03%E -4.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-06 21:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-03-06 21:11
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-03-06 21:10