Langue:Français
Ben Shelton v Reilly Opelka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prévision 75.23%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -10.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.07%75.24%75.00%77.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.241.2983.33%80.27%80.65%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Reilly Opelka (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.086%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%24.76%25.00%26.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.473.843.854.2528.82%26.06%25.97%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ben Shelton (Local) : 75.23% ; Reilly Opelka (Visiteur) : 24.77%. Pour Reilly Opelka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +5.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.29%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.086% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +4.05%E +0.965%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +2.56%E +0.619%K +0.817%G +0.021% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +1.57%E +0.384%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -0.408%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.14%E -0.542%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.736%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 21:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:02 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -14.03%E -4.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |