La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ben Shelton v Reilly Opelka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ben Shelton (Local)
Predicción 75.23%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -10.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%75.24%75.00%77.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.241.2983.33%80.27%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reilly Opelka (Visitante)
Predicción 24.77%4.04momio equitativo
EV +5.29%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%24.76%25.00%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.473.843.854.2528.82%26.06%25.97%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.29%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.086% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +4.05%E +0.965%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV +2.56%E +0.619%K +0.817%G +0.021% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +1.57%E +0.384%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -0.408%E -0.102%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:09 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.904%E -0.226%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.14%E -0.542%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.736%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.47%E -6.07%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Fliff | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 21:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.98%E -7.42%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:02 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.46%E -3.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.52%EV -5.97%E -4.77%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.48%EV -14.03%E -4.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Novig | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |