La scuola delle quote

Ben Shelton v Learner Tien

Inizio: 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ben Shelton (Casa)

Previsione 54.52%1.83quota equa
EV +6.32%
Vantaggio +3.24%
Kelly +6.65%
Crescita +0.421%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%53.98%54.44%58.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.721.681.9563.29%58.19%59.52%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.48%2.20quota equa
EV +4.60%
Vantaggio +2.00%
Kelly +3.53%
Crescita +0.162%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.69%46.02%45.56%51.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.56%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.32%E +3.24%K +6.65%G +0.421%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +5.23%E +2.71%K +5.62%G +0.294%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +4.69%E +2.44%K +5.09%G +0.239%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -14.05%E -7.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 20:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +3.60%E +1.89%K +3.99%G +0.144%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:14
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.869%E +0.470%K +1.02%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 20:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 20:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.96%E -5.03%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:14
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 20:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:14
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +4.14%E +1.81%K +3.21%G +0.133%2.5%2026-03-08 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:14
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.85%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 20:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:03
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.14%E -4.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 20:14
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%3.4%2026-03-08 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%3.4%2026-03-08 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082%3.9%2026-03-08 19:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:04
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +0.957%E +0.431%K +0.784%G +0.008%5.3%2026-03-08 20:05
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%4.1%2026-03-08 20:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:09
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:04
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%4.8%2026-03-08 20:00
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082%5.0%2026-03-08 20:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:13
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:04
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +2.32%E +1.03%K +1.86%G +0.043%6.6%2026-03-08 20:13
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +1.41%E +0.633%K +1.15%G +0.016%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.76%E -7.98%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -13.85%E -8.77%K -23.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 20:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-08 20:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-08 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%6.6%2026-03-08 20:15