La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ben Shelton v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ben Shelton (Local)
Predicción 54.52%1.83momio equitativo
EV +6.32%
Ventaja +3.24%
Kelly +6.65%
Crecimiento +0.421%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%53.98%54.44%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.721.681.9563.29%58.19%59.52%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 45.48%2.20momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +3.53%
Crecimiento +0.162%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%46.02%45.56%51.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.56%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.32%E +3.24%K +6.65%G +0.421% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +5.23%E +2.71%K +5.62%G +0.294% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +4.69%E +2.44%K +5.09%G +0.239% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -14.05%E -7.43%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +3.60%E +1.89%K +3.99%G +0.144% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.869%E +0.470%K +1.02%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.96%E -5.03%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +4.14%E +1.81%K +3.21%G +0.133% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.85%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:03 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.14%E -4.03%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 19:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 19:59 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +0.957%E +0.431%K +0.784%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 20:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:13 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +2.32%E +1.03%K +1.86%G +0.043% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 20:13 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +1.41%E +0.633%K +1.15%G +0.016% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.76%E -7.98%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -13.85%E -8.77%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 20:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Novig | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |