مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ben Shelton v Learner Tien

البداية: 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ben Shelton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.52%1.83السعر العادل
EV +6.32%
الأفضلية +3.24%
Kelly +6.65%
النمو +0.421%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.52%53.98%54.44%58.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.721.681.9563.29%58.19%59.52%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Learner Tien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.48%2.20السعر العادل
EV +4.60%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +3.53%
النمو +0.162%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.69%46.02%45.56%51.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.102.152.3055.56%47.56%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +6.32%E +3.24%K +6.65%G +0.421%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +5.23%E +2.71%K +5.62%G +0.294%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -15.87%E -8.58%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +4.69%E +2.44%K +5.09%G +0.239%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -14.05%E -7.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 20:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +4.14%E +2.17%K +4.55%G +0.188%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -18.14%E -10.08%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 20:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +3.60%E +1.89%K +3.99%G +0.144%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:14
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.869%E +0.470%K +1.02%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.221%E -0.121%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 20:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 20:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.96%E -5.03%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:14
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 20:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:14
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +4.14%E +1.81%K +3.21%G +0.133%2.5%2026-03-08 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:14
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.85%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 20:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:03
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.14%E -4.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 20:14
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%3.4%2026-03-08 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%3.4%2026-03-08 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082%3.9%2026-03-08 19:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:04
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +0.957%E +0.431%K +0.784%G +0.008%5.3%2026-03-08 20:05
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -0.862%E -0.395%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +4.60%E +2.00%K +3.53%G +0.162%4.1%2026-03-08 20:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:09
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:04
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%4.8%2026-03-08 20:00
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +3.23%E +1.42%K +2.54%G +0.082%5.0%2026-03-08 20:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.58%E -6.45%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -11.13%E -6.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.69%E +1.62%K +2.88%G +0.106%5.2%2026-03-08 20:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:13
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:04
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.67%E -7.20%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +2.32%E +1.03%K +1.86%G +0.043%6.6%2026-03-08 20:13
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -12.22%E -7.59%K -20.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +1.41%E +0.633%K +1.15%G +0.016%7.0%2026-03-08 20:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.76%E -7.98%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -13.85%E -8.77%K -23.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 20:13
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-08 20:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-08 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-03-08 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-03-08 20:15
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%6.6%2026-03-08 20:15