Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Início: 2026-03-10 18:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Previsão 42.50%2.35odd justa
EV -0.125%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.57%42.49%42.42%44.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.46%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Previsão 57.50%1.74odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.980%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.70%57.51%57.58%59.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.17%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Fils (Local): 42.50%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante): 57.50%. Para Arthur Fils (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.353. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.350, com valor esperado de -0.125%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.125%E -0.053%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -1.83%E -0.790%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 18:07
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:08
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:07
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 18:10
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:10
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.08%E -2.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:05
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:05
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:07
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:09
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:09
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:09
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 17:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 18:04
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:01
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 18:06
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:09
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:09
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-03-10 18:10
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-10 18:10