L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 42.50%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.125%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%42.49%42.42%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.46%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.50%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.980%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%57.51%57.58%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.17%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.125%E -0.053%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 18:10
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -1.83%E -0.790%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 18:07
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 18:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:08
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:07
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 18:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 17:59
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:10
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.08%E -2.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:05
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:05
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:07
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:09
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:09
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:09
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 17:57
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 18:04
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:01
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 18:10
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 18:06
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:09
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 18:10
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-03-10 18:10
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-03-10 18:10
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-10 18:10